Ea Michigan
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 67.1226Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 27-52 906 H LIU 23-28 913 A Kentucky SEC ( 5- 7, 78.7) 23-48 920 H Louisiana SUN ( 7- 5, 69.5) 34-31 927 A Cen Michigan MIDA ( 7- 6, 72.6) 13-24 1004 A Buffalo MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.3) 30-31 1011 H No Illinois MIDA ( 3- 9, 64.5) 16-10 1018 A MiamiOH MIDA ( 7- 6, 74.1) 31-44 1025 H Ohio MIDA ( 9- 4, 76.3) 21-28 1108 H Bowl. Green MIDA ( 4- 8, 64.0) 27-21 1115 A Ball St MIDA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 24- 9 1125 H We Michigan MIDA (10- 4, 76.3) 21-31
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Texas State 27-52 -25 -10 -- -4.40
913 A Kentucky 23-48 -25 -17 0.00
920 H Louisiana 34-31 3 3 0.16
927 A Cen Michigan 13-24 -11 -11 -0.25
1004 A Buffalo 30-31 -1 -2 1.45
1011 H No Illinois 16-10 6 8 -1.84
1018 A MiamiOH 31-44 -13 -12 -0.77
1025 H Ohio 21-28 -7 -4 - -3.08
1108 H Bowl. Green 27-21 6 8 - -2.42
1115 A Ball St 24- 9 15 -3 +++ 17.22
1125 H We Michigan 21-31 -10 -4 --- -6.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 H We Michigan 21-31 -10 -4 --- -6.07 830 A Texas State 27-52 -25 -10 -- -4.40 1025 H Ohio 21-28 -7 -4 - -3.08 1108 H Bowl. Green 27-21 6 8 - -2.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1115 A Ball St 24- 9 15 -3 +++ 17.22 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 27-52 -28.44 22.78 5.26 1.16 -13.43
3 A Kentucky ( 5- 7, 78.7) 23-48 -21.19 30.03 5.26 1.16 -9.23
3 H Louisiana ( 7- 5, 69.5) 34-31 -30.35 20.87 -5.26 1.16 36.18
3 A Cen Michigan ( 7- 6, 72.6) 13-24 -27.29 23.93 5.26 1.16 -12.77
3 A Buffalo ( 5- 7, 64.3) 30-31 -35.58 15.64 5.26 1.16 -17.57
3 H No Illinois ( 3- 9, 64.5) 16-10 -35.36 15.86 -5.26 1.16 24.58
3 A MiamiOH ( 7- 6, 74.1) 31-44 -25.80 25.42 5.26 1.16 -11.91
3 H Ohio ( 9- 4, 76.3) 21-28 -23.60 27.62 -5.26 1.16 -16.73
3 H Bowl. Green ( 4- 8, 64.0) 27-21 -35.94 15.28 -5.26 1.16 23.23
3 A Ball St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 24- 9 -34.82 16.40 5.26 1.16 50.22
3 H We Michigan (10- 4, 76.3) 21-31 -23.59 27.63 -5.26 1.16 -16.72
------
35.85
|
winning pts = 134.2043 losing points = -98.3572
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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